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1.
Br J Cancer ; 122(12): 1760-1768, 2020 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32350413

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine (nabP+gemcitabine) offers modest survival gains for patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Sequential scheduling of nabP+gemcitabine in a PDAC mouse model improved efficacy; this hypothesis was tested in a clinical trial. METHODS: Patients with previously untreated metastatic PDAC were randomised to receive nabP+gemcitabine administered either concomitantly on the same day, or sequentially, with gemcitabine administered 24 h after nabP. The primary outcome measure was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary outcome measures were objective response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), safety, quality of life (QoL) and predictive biomarkers. RESULTS: In total, 71 patients received sequential (SEQ) and 75 concomitant (CON) treatment. Six-month PFS was 46% with SEQ and 32% with CON scheduling. Median PFS (5.6 versus 4.0 months, hazard ratio [HR] 0.67, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.47-0.95, p = 0.022) and ORR (52% versus 31%, p = 0.023) favoured the SEQ arm; median OS was 10.2 versus 8.2 months (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.65-1.33, p = 0.70). CTCAE Grade ≥3 neutropaenia incidence doubled with SEQ therapy but was not detrimental to QoL. Strongly positive tumour epithelial cytidine deaminase (CDA) expression favoured benefit from SEQ therapy (PFS HR 0.31, 95% CI 0.13-0.70). CONCLUSIONS: SEQ delivery of nabP+gemcitabine improved PFS and ORR, with manageable toxicity, but did not significantly improve OS. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN71070888; ClinialTrials.gov (NCT03529175).


Subject(s)
Albumins/administration & dosage , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/administration & dosage , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/drug therapy , Deoxycytidine/analogs & derivatives , Paclitaxel/administration & dosage , Pancreatic Neoplasms/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/mortality , Deoxycytidine/administration & dosage , Drug Administration Schedule , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pancreatic Neoplasms/mortality , Progression-Free Survival , Gemcitabine , Pancreatic Neoplasms
2.
Sci Rep ; 5: 12215, 2015 Jul 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26212560

ABSTRACT

Molecular tests hold great potential for tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis, but are costly, time consuming, and HIV-infected patients are often sputum scarce. Therefore, alternative approaches are needed. We evaluated automated digital chest radiography (ACR) as a rapid and cheap pre-screen test prior to Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert). 388 suspected TB subjects underwent chest radiography, Xpert and sputum culture testing. Radiographs were analysed by computer software (CAD4TB) and specialist readers, and abnormality scores were allocated. A triage algorithm was simulated in which subjects with a score above a threshold underwent Xpert. We computed sensitivity, specificity, cost per screened subject (CSS), cost per notified TB case (CNTBC) and throughput for different diagnostic thresholds. 18.3% of subjects had culture positive TB. For Xpert alone, sensitivity was 78.9%, specificity 98.1%, CSS $13.09 and CNTBC $90.70. In a pre-screening setting where 40% of subjects would undergo Xpert, CSS decreased to $6.72 and CNTBC to $54.34, with eight TB cases missed and throughput increased from 45 to 113 patients/day. Specialists, on average, read 57% of radiographs as abnormal, reducing CSS ($8.95) and CNTBC ($64.84). ACR pre-screening could substantially reduce costs, and increase daily throughput with few TB cases missed. These data inform public health policy in resource-constrained settings.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Pattern Recognition, Automated/economics , Radiography, Thoracic/economics , Triage/economics , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/economics , Adult , Female , Humans , Machine Learning/economics , Machine Learning/statistics & numerical data , Male , Molecular Diagnostic Techniques/economics , Netherlands/epidemiology , Pattern Recognition, Automated/methods , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Radiography, Thoracic/statistics & numerical data , Reproducibility of Results , Resource Allocation/economics , Sensitivity and Specificity , Triage/statistics & numerical data , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology , Utilization Review
3.
Int J Tuberc Lung Dis ; 17(12): 1613-20, 2013 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24200278

ABSTRACT

SETTING: A busy urban health centre in Lusaka, Zambia. OBJECTIVE: To compare the accuracy of automated reading (CAD4TB) with the interpretation of digital chest radiograph (CXR) by clinical officers for the detection of tuberculosis (TB). DESIGN: A retrospective analysis was performed on 161 subjects enrolled in a TB specimen bank study. CXRs were analysed using CAD4TB, which computed an image abnormality score (0-100). Four clinical officers scored the CXRs for abnormalities consistent with TB. We compared the automated readings and the readings by clinical officers against the bacteriological and radiological results used as reference. We report here the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and kappa (κ) statistics. RESULTS: Of 161 enrolled subjects, 97 had bacteriologically confirmed TB and 120 had abnormal CXR. The AUCs for CAD4TB and the clinical officers were respectively 0.73 and 0.65-0.75 in comparison with the bacteriological reference, and 0.91 and 0.89-0.94 in comparison with the radiological reference. P values indicated no significant differences, except for one clinical officer who performed significantly worse than CAD4TB (P < 0.05) using the bacteriological reference. κ values for CAD4TB and clinical officers with radiological reference were respectively 0.61 and 0.49-0.67. CONCLUSION: CXR assessment using CAD4TB and by clinical officers is comparable. CAD4TB has potential as a point-of-care test and for the automated identification of subjects who require further examinations.


Subject(s)
Health Personnel , Image Interpretation, Computer-Assisted , Radiography, Thoracic , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnostic imaging , Adult , Area Under Curve , Automation, Laboratory , Clinical Competence , Female , Humans , Male , Observer Variation , Prognosis , Reproducibility of Results , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Urban Health Services , Zambia
4.
Methods Inf Med ; 51(5): 383-94, 2012.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22614791

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Over 100 limited sampling strategies (LSSs) have been proposed to reduce the number of blood samples necessary to estimate the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC). The conditions under which these strategies succeed or fail remain to be clarified. OBJECTIVES: We investigated the accuracy of existing LSSs both theoretically and numerically by Monte Carlo simulation. We also proposed two new methods for more accurate AUC estimations. METHODS: We evaluated the following existing methods theoretically: i) nonlinear curve fitting algorithm (NLF), ii) the trapezium rule with exponential curve approximation (TZE), and iii) multiple linear regression (MLR). Taking busulfan (BU) as a test drug, we generated a set of theoretical concentration-time curves based on the identified distribution of pharmacokinetic parameters of BU and re-evaluated the existing LSSs using these virtual validation profiles. Based on the evaluation results, we improved the TZE so that unrealistic parameter values were not used. We also proposed a new estimation method in which the most likely curve was selected from a set of pre-generated theoretical concentration-time curves. RESULTS: Our evaluation, based on clinical profiles and a virtual validation set, revealed: i) NLF sometimes overestimated the absorption rate constant Ka, ii) TZE overestimated AUC over 280% when Ka is small, and iii) MLR underestimated AUC over 30% when the elimination rate constant Ke is small. These results were consistent with our mathematical evaluations for these methods. In contrast, our two new methods had little bias and good precision. CONCLUSIONS: Our investigation revealed that existing LSSs induce different but specific biases in the estimation of AUC. Our two new LSSs, a modified TZE and one using model concentration-time curves, provided accurate and precise estimations of AUC.


Subject(s)
Area Under Curve , Models, Statistical , Selection Bias , Antineoplastic Agents, Alkylating/pharmacokinetics , Busulfan/pharmacokinetics , Monte Carlo Method
5.
Ageing Res Rev ; 10(2): 304-13, 2011 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21130902

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Physicians committed to the care of elderly patients, are challenged with the diagnosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE: deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism) due to a higher incidence, co-morbidities masking signs and symptoms and burdening referrals. Clinical decision rules (CDRs) have been developed and implemented for VTE. Yet, until now, no study has evaluated the existing evidence of the diagnostic accuracy of CDRs for VTE in elderly. PURPOSE: To assess the effect of increasing age on diagnostic accuracy of CDRs for VTE in elderly. DATA SOURCES: A computerized systematic search was performed in Medline and Embase from 1950 to 2010. After checking reference lists and field experts, all key journals were hand searched. STUDY SELECTION: After review of 1538 eligible citations, nine articles were included and critically appraised on methodological quality by two reviewers using the QUADAS criteria. DATA EXTRACTION: Data on age subgroups, type of CDRs, sensitivity, specificity, safety, efficiency and the prevalence of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) were extracted. DATA SYNTHESIS: Although sensitivity and safety of the CDRs for VTE in elderly remained high, the specificity and efficiency decreased substantially in older age groups. LIMITATIONS: A limited number of studies met our inclusion criteria. Possible referral bias due to inclusion of relatively high risk elderly patients. CONCLUSIONS: This diagnostic review demonstrates an increase of prevalence of PE with age and a strong decrease of specificity and efficiency for CDRs of VTE in older patients. Moreover, due to referral bias the decrease in specificity in the elderly may even be underestimated. Although the safety of CDRs for VTE is high, adapting these rules for elderly is much needed to make them more efficient for aged patients.


Subject(s)
Aging/physiology , Decision Support Systems, Clinical , Pulmonary Embolism/diagnosis , Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis , Age Factors , Aged , Decision Making , Diagnostic Techniques, Cardiovascular , Humans , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Sensitivity and Specificity
6.
BMJ ; 339: b2990, 2009 Aug 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19684102

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To review the evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of the currently available point of care D-dimer tests for excluding venous thromboembolism. DESIGN: Systematic review of research on the accuracy of point of care D-dimer tests, using bivariate regression to examine sources of variation and to estimate sensitivity and specificity. DATA SOURCES: Studies on the diagnostic accuracy of point of care D-dimer tests published between January 1995 and September 2008 and available in either Medline or Embase. Review methods The analysis included studies that compared point of care D-dimer tests with predefined reference criteria for venous thromboembolism, enrolled consecutive outpatients, and allowed for construction of a 2x2 table. RESULTS: 23 studies (total number of patients 13 959, range in mean age 38-65 years, range of venous thromboembolism prevalence 4-51%) were included in the meta-analysis. The studies reported two qualitative point of care D-dimer tests (SimpliRED D-dimer (n=12) and Clearview Simplify D-dimer (n=7)) and two quantitative point of care D-dimer tests (Cardiac D-dimer (n=4) and Triage D-dimer (n=2)). Overall sensitivity ranged from 0.85 (95% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.90) to 0.96 (0.91 to 0.98) and overall specificity from 0.48 (0.33 to 0.62) to 0.74 (0.69 to 0.78). The two quantitative tests Cardiac D-dimer and Triage D-dimer scored most favourably. CONCLUSIONS: In outpatients suspected of venous thromboembolism, point of care D-dimer tests can contribute important information and guide patient management, notably in low risk patients (that is, those patients with a low score on a clinical decision rule).


Subject(s)
Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products/metabolism , Point-of-Care Systems/standards , Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Ambulatory Care , Humans , Middle Aged , Sensitivity and Specificity
7.
Acta Anaesthesiol Scand ; 52(9): 1179-87, 2008 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18823455

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Stroke after cardiac surgery may be caused by emboli emerging from an atherosclerotic ascending aorta (AA). Epiaortic ultrasound scanning (EUS), the current 'gold' standard for detecting AA atherosclerosis, has not gained widespread use because there is a lack of optimized ultrasound devices, it lengthens the procedure, it endangers sterility, and there is a false belief by many surgeons that palpation is as sensitive as EUS. Furthermore there is no clear evidence proving that the use of epiaortic scanning changes outcome in cardiac surgery. Various researchers investigated the ability of transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) to discriminate between the presence and absence of AA atherosclerosis. It is acknowledged that TEE has limited value in this, but it has never been supported by a meta-analysis estimating the true diagnostic accuracy of TEE based on all quantitative evidence. We aimed to do this using state-of-the-art methodology of diagnostic meta-analyses. METHODS: We searched multiple databases for studies comparing TEE vs. EUS for detection of atherosclerosis. A random-effects bivariate meta-regression model was used to obtain summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity, incorporating the correlation between sensitivity and specificity as well as covariates to explore heterogeneity across studies. RESULTS: We extracted six studies with a total of 346 patients, of whom 419 aortic segments were analyzed, including 100 segments with atherosclerosis [median prevalence 25% (range 17-62%)]. Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were 21% (95% CI 13-32%) and 99% (96-99%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Because of the low sensitivity of TEE for the detection of AA atherosclerosis, a negative test result requires verification by additional testing using epiaortic scanning. In case of a positive test result, AA atherosclerosis can be considered as present, and less manipulative strategies might be indicated.


Subject(s)
Aorta/surgery , Atherosclerosis/diagnosis , Atherosclerosis/surgery , Echocardiography, Transesophageal/methods , Humans , Sensitivity and Specificity , Technology Assessment, Biomedical
8.
Eur J Clin Invest ; 33(1): 34-40, 2003 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12492450

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Renal size and function reflect the health of the kidney. These parameters are associated with age, gender and body weight. The kidneys are also influenced by micro- and macrovascular diseases. Atherosclerotic markers and risk factors may influence the age-related changes of renal size and function. METHODS: Data of 1056 patients who entered the SMART-study (Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease) were used to assess the effect of atherosclerosis on the relationship between age and renal size and function and to study the effect of atherosclerosis on renal size and function. Patients who were newly referred to the hospital with manifestations of vascular disease were screened for asymptomatic atherosclerosis with noninvasive tests. The carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and albuminuria were used as estimates for the atherosclerotic burden. Renal size was defined as the mean pole-to-pole length of both kidneys measured by ultrasonography. Renal function was represented by serum creatinine. RESULTS: Intima-media thickness was a significant effect modifier of the age-renal size relationship (P = 0.041). The increase of serum creatinine with age was more pronounced in the highest tertile of IMT (P = 0.048). Renal size decreased equally with age in patients with and without hypertension or diabetes mellitus (DM). The same held true for the age-renal function relationship. Albuminuria and DM were independent predictors of renal size and function. CONCLUSION: Atherosclerosis accelerates the decrease of renal size and the increase of serum creatinine with age. Renal size and function are determined by albuminuria and DM.


Subject(s)
Aging/pathology , Arteriosclerosis/pathology , Kidney/pathology , Aged , Aging/physiology , Albuminuria/pathology , Albuminuria/physiopathology , Arteriosclerosis/blood , Arteriosclerosis/physiopathology , Carotid Artery, Internal/pathology , Creatinine/blood , Diabetes Mellitus/pathology , Diabetes Mellitus/physiopathology , Female , Humans , Hypertension/pathology , Hypertension/physiopathology , Kidney/physiopathology , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Regression Analysis , Risk Factors , Tunica Intima/pathology , Tunica Media/pathology
9.
Pharm Res ; 12(10): 1506-12, 1995 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8584490

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: 1. The assessment of the role of hair follicles and sweat glands in skin resistance and percutaneous iontophoretic flux of 9-desglycinamide, 8-arginine vasopressin (DGAVP) by comparing two skin species: human stratum corneum which contained hair follicles, sweat and sebaceous glands, and shed snake skin which lacked all appendages. 2. The effect of 1-dodecylazacycloheptan-2-one (dodecyl-Azone, a lipid perturbing agent) on the iontophoretic DGAVP flux. METHODS: Iontophoresis in vitro was performed in a transport cell (0.79 cm2 area available for percutaneous transport) by 8-hours application of a pulsed constant current of 100 Hz, 50% duty cycle and 0.26 mA.cm-2 current density delivered by a pair of Ag/AgCl electrodes, of which the anode was facing the anatomical surface of the skin samples. RESULTS: The initial resistances of human stratum corneum and shed snake skin samples were of the same order of magnitude (20-24 k omega.cm2) and both skin species showed a comparable resistance-decrease profile during 8-hours iontophoresis, indicating that the resistances were mainly determined by the stratum corneum and not greatly influenced by the appendageal structures. The initial resistances of the skin samples pretreated with dodecyl-azone were less than 50% of the values of untreated samples. Because dodecylazone is known to perturb the ordering of the intercellular lipids, the effect of azone on the resistance confirms that the resistance mainly resides within the intercellular lipids of the stratum corneum. No correlation was found between the iontophoretic DGAVP-flux and the conductance of human skin. For shed snake skin, however, a good correlation was found, indicating that the iontophoretic permeability of human skin in vitro for a peptide such as DGAVP is, unlike shed snake skin, not related to its overall permeability to ions. While the initial resistances of both human and snake skin were in the same order of magnitude and showed the same declining profile during iontophoresis, the steady state iontophoretic DGAVP flux across human stratum corneum was approximately 140 times larger than through shed snake skin. These findings suggest that small ions follow pathways common to both skin types, presumably the intercellular route, while the peptide on the other hand is transported differently: across snake skin presumably along intercellular pathways only, but across human stratum corneum along additional pathways (most likely of appendageal origin) as well. This interpretation is supported by the observations made of the effects of dodecyl-azone on DGAVP-iontophoresis. Pretreatment with dodecyl-azone did not significantly change steady state fluxes and lag times of DGAVP-iontophoresis across human stratum corneum, but resulted in a significant 3-fold lag time decrease and a 3-fold flux increase of DGAVP-iontophoresis across snake skin. CONCLUSIONS: The results of these in vitro studies emphasize the importance of the appendageal pathway for iontophoretic peptide transport across human stratum corneum.


Subject(s)
Peptides/metabolism , Skin/metabolism , Adult , Animals , Azepines/pharmacology , Electricity , Female , Hair Follicle/metabolism , Humans , Iontophoresis , Skin/drug effects , Skin Absorption/drug effects , Snakes , Species Specificity , Sweat Glands/metabolism , Water/metabolism
10.
Pharm Res ; 11(9): 1296-300, 1994 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7816759

ABSTRACT

This study deals with effects of electrical (current density, frequency and duty cycle) and chemical (buffer pH and ionic strength) conditions on the flux of the octapeptide, 9-desglycinamide, 8-arginine-vasopressin (DGAVP), through dermatomed human skin. A pulsed constant current was applied during iontophoresis. The anode faced the anatomical surface of the skin samples inside the diffusion cells. The resistive and capacitative components of the equivalent electrical circuit of human skin could be calculated by fitting the voltage response to a bi-exponential equation. The skin resistance prior to iontophoresis varied between 20 and 60 k omega.cm2. During iontophoresis a decrease of skin resistance and an increase of the series capacitances was observed, which were most pronounced during the first hour of iontophoresis; thereafter both quantities gradually levelled off to an apparent steady state value. The reduction of the resistance during iontophoresis increased non-linearly with increasing current density between 0.013-0.64 mA.cm-2. The steady state resistance and capacitances did not vary significantly with frequency and duty cycle of the current pulse. There was no pH dependence of skin resistance at steady state. Between pH 4 and 10, the steady state peptide flux had a bell-shaped pH-dependence with a maximum of 0.17 nmol.cm-2.h-1 at pH 7.4, which is close to the I.E.P. of the peptide. Lowering the ionic strength from 0.15 to 0.015 M NaCl increased the steady state flux at pH 5 and pH 8 by a factor 5 to 0.28 +/- 0.21 and 0.48 +/- 0.37 nmol.cm-2.h-1, respectively. Together these observations suggested that DGAVP is transported predominantly by volume flow.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)


Subject(s)
Arginine Vasopressin/analogs & derivatives , Iontophoresis , Skin/metabolism , Arginine Vasopressin/pharmacokinetics , Diffusion , Electric Impedance , Humans , Hydrogen-Ion Concentration , Osmolar Concentration
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